Eng During last 365 days Approved articles: 2004,   Articles in work: 328 Declined articles: 787 
Library
Articles and journals | Tariffs | Payments | Your profile

Back to contents

The Outlines and Scripts Color Revolution in Tajikistan
Neimatov Azad Yagutovich

PhD in Politics

Doctoral student, M.V.Lomonosov Moscow State University, Comparative political science department

119992, Russia, Moscow, Lomonosovskii Prospekt St., 27 building 4

neymatov-1@gmail.com

 

 

Abstract.

This article analyzes the possible prerequisites for the scenario of color revolutions in Tajikistan. It is known that Tajikistan today is included in "at risk" in relation to the color revolutions; above his priority for the organizers and writers of color revolutions are only Kazakhstan, Armenia, Uzbekistan, and in the second tier, Kyrgyzstan. Results of the analysis of network activity of opposition groups in Tajikistan suggest that the country is in the phase of preparation of "colored" coup - that is in the same phase of the color revolution scenario, which includes all pre-service training, and carried out in compliance with the conditions of secrecy. In Tajikistan, in the current form of government, there are at least two political forces, which can be used by political technologists color revolutions for organizing mass protests and armed rebellion: it is the Islamists, whose activities are generally coordinated by representatives of the "Islamic State"; and pro-American "supporters of European values" opposed Tajikistan's participation in the Eurasian integration projects, in which the leading role played by Russia. The limiting factor for the color revolution in Tajikistan is the military presence of Russia (201st base) and Tajikistan's membership in the SCO and the CSTO - the organizations, providing regional security.

Keywords: diplomacy, international relations, U.S. foreign policy, world politics, global information space, political system, interests, state, sequrity, color revolutions

DOI:

10.25136/2409-8671.2018.3.18488

Article was received:

26-03-2016


Review date:

27-03-2016


Publish date:

07-10-2018


This article written in Russian. You can find full text of article in Russian here .

References
1.
Putin pokhvalil Tadzhikistan za predsedatel'stvo v ODKB. RIA Novosti [Elektronnyi dokument] URL: http://ria.ru/world/20150708/1121083314.html#ixzz3fNgwaP6d (data obrashcheniya 9.07.2015)
2.
Komandir tadzhikskogo OMON pereshel na storonu Islamskogo gosudarstva. / Vzglyad. [Elektronnyi dokument] URL: http://www.vz.ru/news/2015/5/28/747763.html (data obrashcheniya 09.07.2015)
3.
Karpovich Oleg, Manoilo Andrei. Color Revolutions: Techniques in Breaking Down Modern Political Regimes. / Bloomington: Authorhouse. 2015. ISBN: 9781496970183
4.
Manoilo A.V. Natsional'no-gosudarstvennye modeli psikhologicheskogo upravleniya konfliktami. // Obozrevatel'-Observer.-2008.-2. S.118-123.
5.
Manoilo A.V.. Rol' tsvetnykh revolyutsii v demontazhe sovremennykh politicheskikh rezhimov // Natsional'naya bezopasnost' / nota bene. 2014. 3. S. 104-107. DOI: 10.7256/2073-8560.2014.3.1205
6.
Aryamova A.D. Prakticheskaya realizatsiya tekhnologii tsvetnykh revolyutsii v Ukraine v 2004 i 2014 gg.: sravnitel'nyi analiz // Mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya. - 2015. - 4. - C. 439 - 442. DOI: 10.7256/2305-560X.2015.4.17179.
7.
Bocharnikov I.V. Terroristicheskaya gruppirovka Islamskoe gosudarstvo kak zakonomernoe sledstvie blizhnevostochnoi strategii SShA // Trendy i upravlenie. - 2015. - 4. - C. 395 - 402. DOI: 10.7256/2307-9118.2015.4.17007.
8.
Gusher A.I. Geopoliticheskie i strategicheskie aspekty operatsii Vozdushno-kosmicheskikh sil Rossii v Sirii // Konfliktologiya / nota bene. - 2015. - 4. - C. 395 - 402. DOI: 10.7256/2409-8965.2015.4.16967.
9.
Fel'dman P.Ya. Mekhanizmy politicheskogo soglasovaniya interesov: sistemnyi analiz // Konfliktologiya / nota bene. - 2015. - 4. - C. 416 - 423. DOI: 10.7256/2409-8965.2015.4.17394.
10.
Stolkov D.S. Rol' irakskogo krizisa v sovremennoi mirovoi politike // Mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya. - 2015. - 4. - C. 431 - 434. DOI: 10.7256/2305-560X.2015.4.17226.
11.
Lasariya A.O. Noveishii etap formirovaniya abkhazskoi gosudarstvennosti // Konfliktologiya / nota bene. - 2015. - 4. - C. 430 - 435. DOI: 10.7256/2409-8965.2015.4.17156.
12.
Karpovich O.G. Rol' internet-tekhnologii v realizatsii stsenariev tsvetnykh revolyutsii Arabskoi vesny (na primere Egipta) // Politika i Obshchestvo. - 2015. - 11. - C. 1486 - 1494. DOI: 10.7256/1812-8696.2015.11.16965.
13.
Galves Derolle P. Brazil New Age // Konfliktologiya / nota bene. - 2014. - 1. - C. 136 - 139. DOI: 10.7256/.2014.1.13181.