The Outlines and Scripts Color Revolution in Tajikistan
Abstract.This article analyzes the possible prerequisites for the scenario of color revolutions in Tajikistan. It is known that Tajikistan today is included in "at risk" in relation to the color revolutions; above his priority for the organizers and writers of color revolutions are only Kazakhstan, Armenia, Uzbekistan, and in the second tier, Kyrgyzstan. Results of the analysis of network activity of opposition groups in Tajikistan suggest that the country is in the phase of preparation of "colored" coup - that is in the same phase of the color revolution scenario, which includes all pre-service training, and carried out in compliance with the conditions of secrecy. In Tajikistan, in the current form of government, there are at least two political forces, which can be used by political technologists color revolutions for organizing mass protests and armed rebellion: it is the Islamists, whose activities are generally coordinated by representatives of the "Islamic State"; and pro-American "supporters of European values" opposed Tajikistan's participation in the Eurasian integration projects, in which the leading role played by Russia. The limiting factor for the color revolution in Tajikistan is the military presence of Russia (201st base) and Tajikistan's membership in the SCO and the CSTO - the organizations, providing regional security.
Keywords: diplomacy, international relations, U.S. foreign policy, world politics, global information space, political system, interests, state, sequrity, color revolutions
Article was received:26-03-2016
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