Eng During last 365 days Approved articles: 1986,   Articles in work: 275 Declined articles: 858 
Articles and journals | Tariffs | Payments | Your profile

Back to contents

Disturbing trends as precursor of a new crisis
Bogatyrev Semen

PhD in Economics

Docent, the department of Corporate Finances and Corporate Management, Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation

101000, Russia, Moscow, Malyi Zlatoustinskii Pereulok 7, building #1, office #319a



Antonov Denis Sergeevich

Master’s Degree, Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation

101000, Russia, Moscow, Malyi Zlatoustinskii Pereulok 7



The subject of this research is the current trends in development of the new crisis phenomena in the economy. The object is the indices of corporate finance of international companies; indices that characterize the debt burden; stock market indices and multipliers. Based on the conducted analysis, the authors explore the current prerequisite of a new crisis that according to their estimate will take place in 2016-2017 instigated by the American stock market crash. The main conclusion of the article lies in the assumption that the economy stands on the threshold of a new crisis. The author’s main contribution into the development of the extensively covered question of crisis forecasting consists in the statement that in terms of application of the available economic and financial indices were selected the most efficient for formulating the conclusions. The scientific novelty lies in formation of analytic complex that allows deeper understanding of the examined phenomena, as well as acquire irrefutable factual basis for the conclusions.

Keywords: investments, stock index, stock market, trends, corporate finance, economic coefficients, economic crisis, financial assets, currency issue, economic indicators



Article was received:


Review date:


Publish date:


This article written in Russian. You can find full text of article in Russian here .

Vneshnyaya torgovlya SSSR za 20 let. 1918-1937 gg. Statisticheskii sbornik.-M.: Mezhdunarodnaya kniga, 1939, s. 13, 35.
Encyclopædia Britannica [Elektronnyi resurs]. URL: http://eml.berkeley.edu//~cromer/great_depression.pdf (Data obrashcheniya: 17.08.2016).
Morrison Alan D. Systemic risks and the too-big-to-fail problem // Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Volume 27, Number 3, 2011, pp. 498516
NYMAG [Elektronnyi resurs]. URL: http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2015/12/big-short-genius-says-another-crisis-is-coming.html# (Data obrashcheniya: 17.08.2016).
Bird Mike Corporate America has quietly DOUBLED its debt levels since 2008 // Uk.businessinsider.com [Elektronnyi resurs]. URL: http://uk.businessinsider.com/goldman-sachs-says-us-corporate-debt-levels-have-doubled-since-2008-2015-11 (Data obrashcheniya: 17.08.2016)
By Yong Tang China, US should adjust approach to economic growth // En.people.cn [Elektronnyi resurs]. URL: http://en.people.cn/200512/26/eng20051226_230852.html (Data obrashcheniya: 17.08.2016)
Paul Krugman Earth to Ben Bernanke // Nytimes.com [Elektronnyi resurs]. URL: http://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/29/magazine/chairman-bernanke-should-listen-to-professor-bernanke.html (Data obrashcheniya: 17.08.2016)
Trump predicts massive recession but economists say he's wrong // Cnbc.com [Elektronnyi resurs]. URL: http://www.cnbc.com/2016/04/03/trump-predicts-massive-recession-but-economists-say-hes-wrong.html (Data obrashcheniya: 17.08.2016)
Jim Rogers: There's a 100% Probability of a U.S. Recession Within a Year // Bloomberg [Elektronnyi resurs]. URL: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-03-04/jim-rogers-there-s-a-100-probability-of-a-u-s-recession-within-a-year (Data obrashcheniya: 17.08.2016)
G.S. Rasnyuk Tekhnicheskii analiz kak instrument prinyatiya portfel'nykh reshenii // Nalogi i nalogooblozhenie. - 2013. - 3. - C. 228 - 234. DOI: 10.7256/1812-8688.2013.03.7.
Khauer-Tyukarkina O.M. Krizis ES: kak Germaniya spasaet proekt edinoi Evropy // Mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya. - 2015. - 2. - C. 155 - 161. DOI: 10.7256/2305-560X.2015.2.14153.
G. A. Pakerman Opyt unifikatsii prava ob investitsiyakh v Evropeiskom soyuze // Mezhdunarodnoe pravo i mezhdunarodnye organizatsii / International Law and International Organizations. - 2012. - 1. - C. 126 - 136.
Nguen Ankh Tuan, Nguen Linkh The ongoing public debt crisis in the europian union: impacts on and lessons for Vietnam // Mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya. - 2014. - 3. - C. 364 - 373. DOI: 10.7256/2305-560X.2014.3.10649.