Рус Eng During last 365 days Approved articles: 2053,   Articles in work: 307 Declined articles: 852 
Articles and journals | Tariffs | Payments | Your profile

Back to contents

The Nagorny Karabakh Conflict: Historical Background, Chronology and Solutions
Galoyan Nare

Postgraduate, assistant at the RUDN University

117198, Russia, g. Moscow, ul. Miklukho-Maklaya, 6, kab. 407
Другие публикации этого автора



The object of the study is the Nagorny Karabakh conflict, its chronology and the situation that developed after the events of April, 2016.
The subject of the research is disclosure of the features of the Nagorny Karabakh conflict, its impact on the inter-state relations between Armenia and Azerbaijan, as well as the outline of further prospects for resolution of the conflict.
Special attention is given to exposure of the historical background of the conflict and its influence on the future development of events in the region.
The author focuses on the positions of the interested parties and future prospects for the resolution of the Nagorny Karabakh conflict. The issues related to the Nagorny Karabakh conflict have been studied of K. Hajiyev, V. Huseynov, A. Krylov, S. Markedonov, S. Minasyan, and others.
However, in modern works on international relations and conflict resolution the author doesn’t observe sufficient coverage of intensification of the Nagorny Karabakh conflict (April, 2016) and the prospects for its resolution at the present stage.
The article is based on the principles of historicism, consistency, objectivity, the methodological basis of the study is a historical and genetic method. The main conclusion of the study is that a detailed analysis of the positions of the parties indicates that it is quite realistic to arrive at a compromise.
Azerbaijan will eventually grant formal sovereignty to the NKAO which will de facto become part of Armenia. The sovereignty will be the bargaining chip between official Baku and the Western world which will find something to offer - profitable contracts on energy resources transportation or membership in NATO.
The most probable situation can be defined as "sustained instability" which implies a sequence of negotiation rounds with violation of truce and armed incidents."

Keywords: foreign policy, parties concerned, political conflict, ethnoterritorial conflict, Nagorno-Karabakh, South Caucasus, regional security, Armenia, Azerbaijan, balance of power



Article was received:


Review date:


Publish date:


This article written in Russian. You can find full text of article in Russian here .

Melik-Shakhnazarov A. Nagornyi Karabakh. Fakty protiv lzhi / A. Melik-Shakhnazarov. – Erevan, 2009. – 792 s.
McGuinness D. Armenians flee Syria for their ancestral homeland / D. McGuinness // BBC News. – 2013. – № 3.
Gusher A.I. Vooruzhennye konflikty i ochagi voenno-politicheskoi napryazhennosti (31 iyulya 2009 g.) / A.I. Gusher // Informatsionno-analiticheskii portal postsovetskogo prostranstva «Materik». URL: (data obrashcheniya: 01.06.2018).
De Whaal T. Black Garden / Thomas De Whaal. – New York, 2010. – 436 r.
The Bishkek Protocol from 5 May 1994. URL: (accessed: 01.06.2018).
Khoperskaya L. Etnopoliticheskii konflikt kak sostoyanie etnopoliticheskoi sistemy / L. Khoperskaya // Konfliktologiya. 2009. № 1. C. 153–177.
Rafal A. 5 glavnykh voprosov o novoi voine v Karabakhe / A. Rafal // Strana.UA. – 2016. – № 4.
Zargaryan R. Bumerang terrorizma vozvrashchaetsya v Azerbaidzhan / R. Zargaryan // Noev Kovcheg. – 2016. – № 8.
Khimshiashvili P. Eshche ne voina / P. Khimshiashvili // RBK. – 2016. – № 4.
Esayants A. Karabakh voyuet sovetskim / A. Esayants // Sputnik. – 2016. – № 8.
Zayavlenie glav gosudarstv – chlenov Organizatsii Dogovora o kollektivnoi bezopasnosti po nagorno-karabakhskomu konfliktu (14.10.2016, Erevan) // Ofitsial'nyi sait ODKB. URL: http://odkb-csto. org/documents/detail.php?ELEMENT_ID=8380 (data obrashcheniya: 03.06.2018).
Markedonov S.M. Tridtsat' let nagorno-karabakhskogo konflikta: osnovnye etapy i perspektivy uregulirovaniya / S.M. Markedonov // Postsovetskie issledovaniya. – 2018. – T. 1, № 2. – S. 129-138.
Per Anders Johansen. En krig er i ferd med å blusse opp igjen rundt denne landsbyen. Det kan føre med seg konflikt mellom flere stormakter // Aftenposten. 11.07.2017. URL: verden/i/vqVyl/En-krig-er-i-ferd-med-a-blusse-opp-igjen-rundt-denne-landsbyen-Det-kan-fore-med-seg-konflikt-mellom-flere-stormakter (data obrashcheniya: 05.06.2018).